Although the great Hollywood walkout of 2023 is only partially over, the TV industry is estimated to have lost $1.6 billion in ad revenues, a 17% YoY decrease when compared to the same period in 2022, according to a new report from MediaRadar. 

Primetime and late night TV were impacted the most by the strike, with the combined sector losing an estimated $1 billion in revenues. Ad spend for the combined sector decreased 12% YoY to $7.6 billion, with primetime television experiencing a drop of 11% from $7 billion to $6.2 billion, while late night saw a 15% decrease from $1.7 billion to $1.4 billion. 

“Late night is one of the most profitable hours of TV, and a lack of talk shows during the writers strike really affected advertisers,” said Todd Krizelman, CEO and co-founder, MediaRadar. “Now that the strike is over and talk shows are returning, we should see advertisers eager to pour money into those slots.”

Daytime TV is a bit more of a mixed bag, however. While ad investment on daytime TV talk shows dipped 6% YoY from May through August to $300 million—down from nearly $321 million spent during the same period in 2022—it’s anticipated advertising will also be down in September. 

The few remaining daytime soaps still on the air, however, continued production throughout the writers strike due to a separate SAG-AFTRA agreement that expires in July 2024. During the strike, new daytime drama content aired and advertising was up 21% YoY May through August to over $84 million.

From May through August, overall spend on TV ads reached $14.4 billion from 7.2K brands, a 10% YoY decrease from the $16 billion in ad spend from the same period in 2022. The number of brands also decreased 7% YoY from 7.8K advertising via TV in 2022, according to the researcher.

For its latest report, MediaRadar analyzed a sampling of ad revenue from national TV programming categories. Additionally, it sampled ad spend on national TV broadcasts, national print publications, and newspapers from top DMA’s, as well as online channels for films, TV shows, and subscription services. The data spans from January 2022 through August 2023. 

CHANTILLY, Va.—The BIA Advisory Services has done some recalculations and is now projecting the total local media marketplace for 2019 to be higher than expected earlier in the year, with ad revenue now estimated to reach $148.8 billion. BIA cites three key reasons for this update: a strong economy, an early start to the 2020 election and increases in mobile and mobile-social advertising.

As for how ad revenue is predicted to be split up, $89.2 billion (60%) will be earned by traditional media, with $59.5 billion (40%) going to digital media. Online/digital advertising revenue is expected to continue to grow, however, at a CAGR of 9% from now to 2023, while traditional advertising revenue will see a CAGR of -1.4% over the same period.

Local video is expected to be the second biggest contributor to ad revenue (only behind direct mail), generating $29.5 billion (a 19.9% share). Local video covers OTA TV, local cable, local online video, out-of-home video and mobile video; online, out-of-home and mobile video’s ad revenue is a key in local video remaining competitive.

Mobile and online/interactive ad revenue will make up a combined 28.2% of the market share, while local radio rounds out the top five sources, earning 9.8%.

“Although it’s a non-political year, the sheer number of Democratic candidates running and the significant attention this presidential race is garnering is driving earlier than usual advertising revenue across television and mobile/social channels,” said Mark Fratrik, senior vice president and chief economist for BIA. “Additionally, we are more bullish on certain digital advertising platforms like mobile due to its targetability, measurability, attribution and high level of adoption by consumers.”

The updated U.S. Local Advertising Forecast 2019 report can be viewed here.